Breaking Down Derrek Lee's Home Runs in 2009

I'm planning to do in-depth research on home runs by Cubs players and several of the top home run hitters in Major League Baseball next season. For a preview of what to expect, I'm going to provide a more in-depth look at Derrek Lee's 2009 home runs.

Lee hit 35 home runs. Alone that looks impressive but how impressive is it really? One of the problem with baseball statistics is that they show you how much but it doesn't show how meaningful it is. Just by looking at the home run total, you can't tell how many of those 35 home runs occurred in close games and how many of them were hit in blow-outs. So I decided to break up his home runs and see which ones were actually useful and which were meaningless.

NOTE: Let me briefly describe the meaning of some of the following terms. Anytime I use the word "clutch", it means 7th inning or later. A rally home run would be a home run hit that results in the team trailing by 3 runs or less. An insurance home run would be a home run hit with a 3 run lead or less. A game-changing home run is any home run that gives the team the lead or ties the game. A low value home run is a home run hit with the team up by four runs or more or a home run that results in the team still trailing by four or more runs. A game winning home run is a home run that puts the team in the lead for the remainder of the game. And finally a meaningless home run is any home run hit in a loss or a home run in a win that was not really needed in order to win (the last part is somewhat of a judgment call).

Now that you know what each term means, here are the numbers I got for Lee:

Total Home Runs- 35

Home Runs in wins- 26
Home Runs in losses- 9

Game Winning Home Runs- 10
Game Changing Home Runs- 17
Clutch Game Changing Home Runs- 3
Rally Home Runs- 6
Meaningless Rally Home Run- 4
Insurance Home Run- 6
Clutch Insurance Home Runs- 3
Low Value Home Runs- 6
Meaningful Low Value Home Runs- 1
Meaningless Home Runs- 14

Solo Home Runs- 21
Two-run Home Runs- 9
Three-run Home Runs- 3
Grand Slams- 2

First of all, the 26 home runs in wins and nine home runs in losses does not mean the Cubs were 26-9 when Lee hit a home run. There were a few times in 2009 when Lee hit two home runs in one game.

I have determined that Lee hit 14 meaningless home runs which means 21 of his 35 home runs were meaningful in helping the Cubs win. The number that is very interesting is that Lee hit 17 home runs that either tied the game or gave the Cubs the lead. Three of them came in the 7th inning or later and 10 of them ending up producing the game winning runs. 60% of Lee's home runs were solo home runs which seems to be normal but only 14% of Lee's home runs were either a three-run home run or a grand slam.

Another thing that I noticed was that Lee had only six low value home runs and one of them were actually meaningful. That's an encouraging stat because even without doing any research, you can see that at least four of Lee's home runs in losses could have been meaningful home runs if the rest of the team performed well enough to win the game.

Overall, I'd say Lee made a pretty good impact with his home runs. 74% of his home runs came in wins and the majority of his home runs were meaningful which are stats you want to see when someone hits that many home runs.

1st Half Cubs Hidden Stats

NOTE: I am doing most of my hidden stats posts at CubScore.com. Check it out for Cubs Hidden Stats updates.

Updated through game #86 (July 12, 2009)

OFFENSIVE STATS-

RBI success % (runner on 3rd/less than 2 outs):

1. Sam Fuld 100% (1 for 1)
2. Jake Fox 80% (4 for 5)
3. Derrek Lee 75% (15 for 20)
4. Aramis Ramirez 75% (3 for 4)
5. Andres Blanco 60% (3 for 5)
6. Mike Fontenot 59% (10 for 17)
7. Reed Johnson 57% (4 for 7)
8. Ryan Theriot 55% (6 for 11)
9. Geovany Soto 46% (6 for 13)
10. Kosuke Fukudome 44% (4 for 9)
11. Bobby Scales 40% (2 for 5)
12. Milton Bradley 36% (4 for 11)
13. Alfonso Soriano 33% (4 for 12)
14. Carlos Zambrano 33% (1 for 3)
15. Micah Hoffpauir 31% (4 for 13)
16. Aaron Miles 20% (1 for 5)
17. Koyie Hill 11% (1 for 9)
18. Ryan Dempster 0% (0 for 3)
19. Ted Lilly 0% (0 for 1)
20. Rich Harden 0% (0 for 1)
21. Ryan Freel 0% (0 for 1)
22. Jeff Baker 0% (0 for 1)

Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 11
2. Derrek Lee 10
3. Geovany Soto 5
4. Milton Bradley 4
5. Micah Hoffpauir 4
6. Ryan Theriot 4
7. Kosuke Fukudome 2
8. Koyie Hill 2
9. Jake Fox 2
10. Aramis Ramirez 1
11. Mike Fontenot 1
12. Reed Johnson 1
13. Carlos Zambrano 1


Clutch Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 4
2. Derrek Lee 2
3. Aramis Ramirez 1
4. Reed Johnson 1
5. Koyie Hill 1
6. Geovany Soto 1
7. Micah Hoffpauir 1


Rally HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 2
2. Derrek Lee 2
3. Kosuke Fukudome 2
4. Micah Hoffpauir 2
5. Bobby Scales 2
6. Aramis Ramirez 1
7. Milton Bradley 1
8. Reed Johnson 1
9. Geovany Soto 1
10. Derrek Lee 1


Insurance HR:

1. Ryan Theriot 3
2. Geovany Soto 2
3. Mike Fontenot 2
4. Aramis Ramirez 1
5. Alfonso Soriano 1
6. Micah Hoffpauir 1
7. Bobby Scales 1
8. Carlos Zambrano 1
9. Kosuke Fukudome 1
10. Jake Fox 1
11. Derrek Lee 1


Clutch Insurance HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 1
2. Bobby Scales 1


Low Value Home Run:

1. Derrek Lee 3
2. Mike Fontenot 3
3. Reed Johnson 2
4. Kosuke Fukudome 2
5. Micah Hoffpauir 1
6. Carlos Zambrano 1
7. Aramis Ramirez 1
8. Milton Bradley 1
9. Jake Fox 1


Out on basepaths:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 8
2. Ryan Theriot 8
3. Milton Bradley 4
4. Alfonso Soriano 3
5. Mike Fontenot 3
6. Reed Johnson 2
7. Joey Gathright 2
8. Derrek Lee 2
9. Andres Blanco 2
10. Geovany Soto 2
11. Aramis Ramirez 1
12. Sam Fuld 1


2-Out RBI:

1. Derrek Lee 19
2. Micah Hoffpauir 15
3. Ryan Theriot 15
4. Kosuke Fukudome 13
5. Aramis Ramirez 11
6. Geovany Soto 10
7. Jake Fox 9
8. Alfonso Soriano 8
9. Mike Fontenot 7
10. Milton Bradley 6
11. Andres Blanco 6
12. Koyie Hill 5
13. Aaron Miles 4
14. Reed Johnson 4
15. Bobby Scales 3
16. Sean Marshall 2
17. Ted Lilly 2
18. Ryan Dempster 2
19. Jeff Baker 2
20. Carlos Zambrano 1
21. Ryan Freel 1
22. Randy Wells 1


PITCHING STATS-

Quality Start %:

1. Ted Lilly 78% (14 for 18)
2. Carlos Zambrano 75% (12 for 16)
3. Randy Wells 75% (9 for 12)
4. Ryan Dempster 65% (11 for 17)
5. Rich Harden 50% (7 for 14)
6. Sean Marshall 25% (2 for 8)
7. Kevin Hart 0% (0 for 1)


Game Score Average:

1. Ted Lilly 57.3 (1032/18 starts)
2. Randy Wells 57.3 (688/12 starts)
3. Carlos Zambrano 54.4 (871/16 starts)
4. Ryan Dempster 51.8 (880/17 starts)
5. Rich Harden 47.6 (667/14 starts)
6. Sean Marshall 47.4 (379/8 starts)
7. Kevin Hart 53.0 (53/1 start)

Run Support Per Start:

1. Ted Lilly 3.7 (66 runs/18 starts)
2. Ryan Dempster 3.3 (56 runs/17 starts)
3. Rich Harden 2.7 (38 runs/14 starts)
4. Carlos Zambrano 2.7 (43 runs/16 starts)
5. Randy Wells 2.7 (32 runs/12 starts)
6. Sean Marshall 2.4 (19 runs/8 starts)
7. Kevin Hart 0 (0 runs/1 start)


Tough Loss:

1. Ted Lilly 3
2. Randy Wells 2
3. Sean Marshall 2
4. Carlos Zambrano 2
5. Ryan Dempster 2
6. Rich Harden 1
7. Kevin Hart 1

Cheap wins:

1. Ted Lilly 1
2. Ryan Dempster 1


Fewest Inherited runners scored %:

1. Jason Waddell 0% (0 of 1)
2. Sean Marshall 4% (1 of 23)*
3. Neal Cotts 7% (1 of 14)
4. Angel Guzman 17% (2 of 12)
5. Kevin Gregg 20% (2 of 10)
6. Carlos Marmol 27% (4 of 15)
7. Jeff Samardzija 38% (3 of 8)
8. David Patton 43% (3 of 7)
9. Aaron Heilman 46% (12 of 26)
10. Jose Ascanio 100% (2 of 2)


Fan Save Value:

1. Kevin Gregg 12.67 (16 saves)
2. Carlos Marmol 3.5 (3 saves)
3. Angel Guzman 0.50 (1 save)


Jam Success %:

1. Kevin Hart 100% (3 for 3)
2. Aaron Heilman 79% (11 for 14)
3. Angel Guzman 77% (7 for 9)
4. Jeff Samardzija 75% (3 for 4)
5. Neal Cotts 67% (2 for 3)
6. Sean Marshall 64% (7 for 11)
7. Kevin Gregg 63% (5 for 8)
8. Randy Wells 62% (13 for 21)
9. Ryan Dempster 56% (10 for 18)
10. Ted Lilly 55% (12 for 22)
11. Carlos Marmol 54% (7 for 13)
12. Carlos Zambrano 53% (18 for 34)
13. Rich Harden 53% (10 for 19)
14. David Patton 50% (4 for 8)
15. Jose Ascanio 50% (1 for 2)
16. Chad Fox 0% (0 for 1)


TEAM STATS-

Cubs Scored % (Leadoff double or Runner on 2nd with no outs): 50% (18 for 36)
Cubs Scored % (Runner on 1st/no outs): 41% (77 for 189)
Cubs Scored % (lead-off walk): 44% (24 for 55)
Cubs Scored % (lead-off single): 40% (46 for 115)
Cubs Scored % (two out walk): 15% (6 for 41)
Cubs Scored % (two out hit): 8% (7 for 88)

* On July 12th during the second game of a doubleheader against the Cardinals, Sean Marshall came in for Angel Guzman with two runners on in the 9th inning. After a walk, he was relieved by Aaron Heilman but stayed in the game and played left field. One out later, Marshall relieved Heilman and pitched with the bases loaded. He got the next two batters out and no runs scored. Although it seems Marshall inherited two runners and then later inherited three runners, official stats credit Marshall with only two inherited runners. I will go by what the official stats say.

Did Reed Johnson Make The Catch?

The quality isn't great but it looks like the ball is hitting the ground. Here's another picture:

Cubs Hidden Stats updated through game #53 (June 6, 2009)

Updated through game #53 (June 6, 2009)

OFFENSIVE STATS-

RBI success % (runner on 3rd/less than 2 outs):

1. Kosuke Fukudome 100% (1 for 1)
2. Jake Fox 100% (1 for 1)
3. Ryan Theriot 80% (4 for 5)
4. Derrek Lee 71% (5 for 7)
5. Aramis Ramirez 67% (2 for 3)
6. Mike Fontenot 62% (8 for 13)
7. Reed Johnson 57% (4 for 7)
8. Alfonso Soriano 50% (3 for 6)
9. Milton Bradley 43% (3 for 7)
10. Bobby Scales 40% (2 for 5)
11. Micah Hoffpauir 36% (4 for 11)
12. Geovany Soto 33% (2 for 6)
13. Aaron Miles 20% (1 for 5)
14. Koyie Hill 0% (0 for 5)
15. Carlos Zambrano 0% (0 for 1)
16. Ryan Dempster 0% (0 for 3)
17. Ted Lilly 0% (0 for 1)
18. Rich Harden 0% (0 for 1)
19. Ryan Freel 0% (0 for 1)


Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 10
2. Milton Bradley 4
3. Ryan Theriot 3
4. Derrek Lee 2
5. Kosuke Fukudome 2
6. Koyie Hill 2
7. Aramis Ramirez 1
8. Mike Fontenot 1
9. Reed Johnson 1
10. Micah Hoffpauir 1

Clutch Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 3
2. Aramis Ramirez 1
3. Reed Johnson 1
4. Koyie Hill 1


Rally HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 2
2. Derrek Lee 2
3. Bobby Scales 2
4. Aramis Ramirez 1
5. Milton Bradley 1
6. Kosuke Fukudome 1
7. Micah Hoffpauir 1
8. Reed Johnson 1
9. Geovany Soto 1

Insurance HR:

1. Mike Fontenot 2
2. Ryan Theriot 2
3. Aramis Ramirez 1
4. Alfonso Soriano 1
5. Geovany Soto 1
6. Micah Hoffpauir 1
7. Bobby Scales 1
8. Carlos Zambrano 1


Clutch Insurance HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 1
2. Bobby Scales 1


Low Value Home Run:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 2
2. Mike Fontenot 2
3. Derrek Lee 2
4. Micah Hoffpauir 1
5. Carlos Zambrano 1
6. Aramis Ramirez 1
7. Reed Johnson 1


Out on basepaths:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 6
2. Ryan Theriot 6
3. Alfonso Soriano 3
4. Mike Fontenot 2
5. Milton Bradley 2
6. Reed Johnson 2
7. Joey Gathright 2
8. Aramis Ramirez 1
9. Derrek Lee 1

2-Out RBI:

1. Aramis Ramirez 11
2. Micah Hoffpauir 11
3. Ryan Theriot 11
4. Kosuke Fukudome 10
5. Derrek Lee 7
6. Geovany Soto 7
7. Mike Fontenot 6
8. Koyie Hill 4
9. Aaron Miles 4
10. Milton Bradley 4
11. Reed Johnson 4
12. Alfonso Soriano 3
13. Bobby Scales 3
14. Sean Marshall 2
15. Ted Lilly 2
16. Ryan Dempster 2
17. Carlos Zambrano 1
18. Ryan Freel 1
19. Jake Fox 1
20. Andres Blanco 1
21. Randy Wells 1


PITCHING STATS-

Quality Start %:

1. Randy Wells 80% (4 for 5)
2. Ted Lilly 73% (8 for 11)
3. Carlos Zambrano 67% (6 for 9)
4. Rich Harden 63% (5 for 8)
5. Ryan Dempster 58% (7 for 12)
6. Sean Marshall 25% (2 for 8)

Game Score Average:

1. Randy Wells 63.2 (316/5 starts)
2. Ted Lilly 57.4 (631/11 starts)
3. Carlos Zambrano 53.3 (480/9 starts)
4. Ryan Dempster 52.8 (634/12 starts)
5. Rich Harden 52.1 (417/8 starts)
6. Sean Marshall 47.4 (379/8 starts)

Run Support Per Start:

1. Ryan Dempster 3.7 (44 runs/12 starts)
2. Carlos Zambrano 3.7 (33 runs/9 starts)
3. Rich Harden 3.6 (29 runs/8 starts)
4. Ted Lilly 3.3 (36 runs/11 starts)
5. Sean Marshall 2.4 (19 runs/8 starts)
6. Randy Wells 1.8 (9 runs/5 starts)

Tough Loss:

1. Randy Wells 2
2. Ted Lilly 2
3. Sean Marshall 2
4. Carlos Zambrano 1
5. Ryan Dempster 1


Cheap wins:

1. Ted Lilly 1
2. Ryan Dempster 1

Fewest Inherited runners scored %:

1. Sean Marshall 0% (0 of 3)
2. Neal Cotts 7% (1 of 14)
3. Angel Guzman 10% (1 of 10)
4. Carlos Marmol 22% (2 of 9)
5. Kevin Gregg 33% (2 of 6)
6. Jeff Samardzija 38% (3 of 8)
7. David Patton 40% (2 of 5)
8. Aaron Heilman 62% (8 of 13)
9. Jose Ascanio 100% (1 of 1)




Fan Save Value:

1. Kevin Gregg 8.75 (10 saves)
2. Carlos Marmol 3.5 (3 saves)


Jam Success %:

1. Angel Guzman 100% (6 for 6)
2. Randy Wells 86% (6 for 7)
3. Aaron Heilman 83% (5 for 6)
4. Carlos Marmol 67% (6 for 9)
5. Neal Cotts 67% (2 for 3)
6. Rich Harden 63% (5 for 8)
7. Kevin Gregg 60% (3 for 5)
8. Ted Lilly 54% (7 for 13)
9. Sean Marshall 50% (4 for 8)
10. Carlos Zambrano 47% (9 for 19)
11. Ryan Dempster 46% (6 for 13)
12. David Patton 43% (3 for 7)
13. Jeff Samardzija 0% (0 for 1)
14. Chad Fox 0% (0 for 1)
15. Jose Ascanio 0% (0 for 1)


TEAM STATS-

Cubs Scored % (Leadoff double or Runner on 2nd with no outs): 43% (10 for 23)

Cubs Scored % (Runner on 1st/no outs): 44% (49 for 112)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off walk): 58% (18 for 31)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off single): 40% (27 for 68)

Cubs Scored % (two out walk): 15% (4 for 26)

Cubs Scored % (two out hit): 12% (6 for 50)

Cubs Hidden Stats updated through game #44 (May 26, 2009)

OFFENSIVE STATS-

Runners Advanced Plus/Minus (RA+/-):

1. Ryan Theriot +24 (25 for 37)
2. Kosuke Fukudome +16 (20 for 37)
3. Reed Johnson +12 (12 for 16)
4. Derrek Lee +11 (11 for 38)
5. Alfonso Soriano +10 (11 for 30)
6. Mike Fontenot +9 (14 for 31)
7. Micah Hoffpauir +9 (12 for 35)
8. Koyie Hill +4 (5 for 9)
9. Aaron Miles +4 (7 for 26)
10. Milton Bradley +4 (6 for 19)
11. Carlos Zambrano +4 (4 for 5)
12. Aramis Ramirez +3 (4 for 12)
13. Rich Harden +3 (3 for 5)
14. Ted Lilly +2 (2 for 5)
15. Ryan Dempster +2 (2 for 4)
16. Geovany Soto +2 (11 for 32)
17. Bobby Scales +2 (2 for 7)
18. Sean Marshall +1 (1 for 3)
19. Joey Gathright +1 (1 for 2)
20. Jose Ascanio +0 (0 for 1)
21. Ryan Freel +0 (1 for 3)


Runners Advanced Percentage (RA%):

1. Carlos Zambrano 80% (4 for 5)
2. Reed Johnson 75% (12 for 16)
3. Ryan Theriot 68% (25 for 37)
4. Rich Harden 60% (3 for 5)
5. Koyie Hill 56% (5 for 9)
6. Kosuke Fukudome 54% (20 for 37)
7. Ryan Dempster 50% (2 for 4)
8. Joey Gathright 50% (1 for 2)
9. Mike Fontenot 45% (14 for 31)
10. Ted Lilly 40% (2 for 5)
11. Alfonso Soriano 37% (11 for 30)
12. Geovany Soto 34% (11 for 32)
13. Micah Hoffpauir 34% (12 for 35)
14. Aramis Ramirez 33% (4 for 12)
15. Ryan Freel 33% (1 for 3)
16. Sean Marshall 33% (1 for 3)
17. Milton Bradley 32% (6 for 19)
18. Derrek Lee 29% (11 for 38)
19. Bobby Scales 29% (2 for 7)
20. Aaron Miles 27% (7 for 26)
21. Jose Ascanio 0% (0 for 1)


RBI success % (runner on 3rd/less than 2 outs):


1. Kosuke Fukudome 100% (1 for 1)
2. Ryan Theriot 80% (4 for 5)
3. Derrek Lee 71% (5 for 7)
4. Aramis Ramirez 67% (2 for 3)
5. Mike Fontenot 60% (6 for 10)
6. Alfonso Soriano 60% (3 for 5)
7. Reed Johnson 50% (2 for 4)
8. Bobby Scales 50% (1 for 2)
9. Milton Bradley 43% (3 for 7)
10. Geovany Soto 40% (2 for 5)
11. Micah Hoffpauir 33% (3 for 9)
12. Aaron Miles 20% (1 for 5)
13. Koyie Hill 0% (0 for 3)
14. Carlos Zambrano 0% (0 for 1)
15. Ryan Dempster 0% (0 for 1)
16. Ted Lilly 0% (0 for 1)
17. Rich Harden 0% (0 for 1)
18. Ryan Freel 0% (0 for 1)


Game Changing HR:


1. Alfonso Soriano 8
2. Milton Bradley 4
3. Ryan Theriot 3
4. Derrek Lee 2
5. Kosuke Fukudome 2
6. Koyie Hill 1
7. Aramis Ramirez 1
8. Mike Fontenot 1


Clutch Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 3
2. Aramis Ramirez 1


Rally HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 2
2. Derrek Lee 2
3. Aramis Ramirez 1
4. Milton Bradley 1
5. Kosuke Fukudome 1
6. Micah Hoffpauir 1
7. Reed Johnson 1

Insurance HR:

1. Mike Fontenot 2
2. Ryan Theriot 2
3. Aramis Ramirez 1
4. Alfonso Soriano 1
5. Geovany Soto 1
6. Micah Hoffpauir 1

Clutch Insurance HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 1
2. Bobby Scales 1


Low Value Home Run:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 2
2. Mike Fontenot 2
3. Micah Hoffpauir 1
4. Carlos Zambrano 1
5. Derrek Lee 1
6. Aramis Ramirez 1


Out on basepaths:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 6
2. Ryan Theriot 3
3. Alfonso Soriano 3
4. Mike Fontenot 2
5. Joey Gathright 2
6. Aramis Ramirez 1
7. Derrek Lee 1
8. Milton Bradley 1


2-Out RBI:

1. Aramis Ramirez 11
2. Micah Hoffpauir 11
3. Ryan Theriot 10
4. Kosuke Fukudome 10
5. Derrek Lee 7
6. Geovany Soto 7
7. Mike Fontenot 4
8. Koyie Hill 4
9. Aaron Miles 4
10. Milton Bradley 4
11. Reed Johnson 3
12. Alfonso Soriano 3
13. Sean Marshall 2
14. Bobby Scales 2
15. Ted Lilly 2
16. Ryan Dempster 2
17. Carlos Zambrano 1
18. Ryan Freel 1

PITCHING STATS-

Quality Start %:

1. Ted Lilly 67% (6 for 9)
2. Randy Wells 67% (2 for 3)
3. Rich Harden 63% (5 for 8)
4. Carlos Zambrano 57% (4 for 7)
5. Ryan Dempster 50% (5 for 10)
6. Sean Marshall 29% (2 for 7)

Game Score Average:

1. Randy Wells 62 (186/3 starts)
2. Ted Lilly 55.4 (499/9 starts)
3. Rich Harden 52.1 (417/8 starts)
4. Sean Marshall 51.6 (361/7 starts)
5. Carlos Zambrano 50.3 (352/7 starts)
6. Ryan Dempster 50 (500/10 starts)


Run Support Per Start:

1. Carlos Zambrano 4.1 (29 runs/7 starts)
2. Rich Harden 3.6 (29 runs/8 starts)
3. Ryan Dempster 3.6 (36 runs/10 starts)
4. Ted Lilly 3.6 (32 runs/9 starts)
5. Sean Marshall 2.7 (19 runs/7 starts)
6. Randy Wells 1.7 (5 runs/3 starts)

Tough Loss:

1. Ted Lilly 2
2. Sean Marshall 2
3. Carlos Zambrano 1
4. Ryan Dempster 1
5. Randy Wells 1


Cheap wins:

1. Ted Lilly 1
2. Ryan Dempster 1


Fewest Inherited runners scored %:

1. Sean Marshall 0% (0 of 3)
2. Neal Cotts 7% (1 of 14)
3. Carlos Marmol 13% (1 of 8)
4. Angel Guzman 17% (1 of 6)
5. Kevin Gregg 33% (2 of 6)
6. Jeff Samardzija 38% (3 of 8)
7. David Patton 40% (2 of 5)
8. Aaron Heilman 62% (8 of 13)


Fan Save Value:

1. Carlos Marmol 3.5 (3 saves)
2. Kevin Gregg 3.25 (5 saves)


Jam Success %:

1. Randy Wells 100% (4 for 4)
2. Angel Guzman 100% (3 for 3)
3. Aaron Heilman 75% (3 for 4)
4. Carlos Marmol 67% (4 for 6)
5. Neal Cotts 67% (2 for 3)
6. Rich Harden 63% (5 for 8)
7. Sean Marshall 60% (3 for 5)
8. Ted Lilly 50% (5 for 10)
9. Ryan Dempster 42% (5 for 12)
10. Carlos Zambrano 36% (5 for 14)
11. David Patton 33% (2 for 6)
12. Kevin Gregg 33% (1 for 3)
13. Jeff Samardzija 0% (0 for 1)
14. Chad Fox 0% (0 for 1)
15. Jose Ascanio 0% (0 for 1)



TEAM STATS-



Cubs Scored % (Leadoff double or Runner on 2nd with no outs): 63% (10 for 16)

Cubs Scored % (Runner on 1st/no outs): 49% (45 for 92)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off walk): 62% (16 for 26)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off single): 45% (25 for 55)

Cubs Scored % (two out walk): 17% (4 for 24)

Cubs Scored % (two out hit): 15% (6 for 40)

Cubs Hidden Stats Update 5/7/09

Updated through game #27 (May 6, 2009)

OFFENSIVE STATS-

BAWRIP

1 K. Fukudome 0.713
2 A. Ramirez 0.651
3 A. Soriano 0.611
4 Mike Fontenot 0.592
5 M. Hoffpauir 0.582
6 Ryan Theriot 0.535
7 Koyie Hill 0.529
8 Derrek Lee 0.460
9 M. Bradley 0.391
10 Aaron Miles 0.351
11 Reed Johnson 0.350
12 Geovany Soto 0.349

WRIP

1 K. Fukudome 0.413
2 A. Soriano 0.341
3 Mike Fontenot 0.336
4 A. Ramirez 0.307
5 M. Hoffpauir 0.287
6 M. Bradley 0.256
7 Derrek Lee 0.251
8 Ryan Theriot 0.230
9 Koyie Hill 0.226
10 Geovany Soto 0.190
11 Aaron Miles 0.148
12 Reed Johnson 0.116

OTS

1 A. Ramirez 0.232
2 K. Fukudome 0.229
3 A. Soriano 0.178
4 M. Hoffpauir 0.174
5 Koyie Hill 0.167
6 Mike Fontenot 0.165
7 Ryan Theriot 0.163
8 Derrek Lee 0.102
9 Reed Johnson 0.091
10 M. Bradley 0.074
11 Aaron Miles 0.072
12 Geovany Soto 0.058


pdOBP

1 K. Fukudome 0.624
2 Koyie Hill 0.500
3 Mike Fontenot 0.463
4 Geovany Soto 0.461
5 A. Ramirez 0.455
6 M. Bradley 0.438
7 Ryan Theriot 0.435
8 A. Soriano 0.430
9 M. Hoffpauir 0.429
10 Reed Johnson 0.400
11 Derrek Lee 0.379
12 Aaron Miles 0.356

Runners Advanced Plus/Minus (RA+/-):
1. Ryan Theriot +16 (18 for 27)
2. Kosuke Fukudome +10 (13 for 25)
3. Derrek Lee +9 (9 for 30)
4. Mike Fontenot +8 (10 for 19)
5. Reed Johnson +7 (7 for 10)
6. Alfonso Soriano +5 (5 for 19)
7. Micah Hoffpauir +5 (6 for 19)
8. Koyie Hill +3 (4 for 6)
9. Carlos Zambrano +3 (3 for 4)
10. Rich Harden +2 (2 for 4)
11. Aaron Miles +1 (4 for 18)
12. Ted Lilly +1 (1 for 3)
13. Ryan Dempster +1 (1 for 3)
14. Aramis Ramirez +1 (2 for 10)
15. Milton Bradley +1 (2 for 7)
16. Sean Marshall +0 (0 for 2)
17. Joey Gathright +0 (0 for 1)
18. Geovany Soto -1 (6 for 21)

Runners Advanced Percentage (RA%):
1. Carlos Zambrano 75% (3 for 4)
2. Reed Johnson 70% (7 for 10)
3. Ryan Theriot 67% (18 for 27)
4. Koyie Hill 67% (4 for 6)
5. Mike Fontenot 53% (10 for 19)
6. Kosuke Fukudome 52% (13 for 25)
7. Rich Harden 50% (2 for 4)
8. Ryan Dempster 33% (1 for 3)
9. Ted Lilly 33% (1 for 3)
10. Micah Hoffpauir 32% (6 for 19)
11. Derrek Lee 30% (9 for 30)
12. Milton Bradley 29% (2 for 7)
13. Geovany Soto 29% (6 for 21)
14. Alfonso Soriano 26% (5 for 19)
15. Aaron Miles 22% (4 for 18)
16. Aramis Ramirez 20% (2 for 10)
17. Sean Marshall 0% (0 for 2)
18. Joey Gathright 0% (0 for 1)

RBI success % (runner on 3rd/less than 2 outs):
1. Ryan Theriot 100% (4 for 4)
2. Kosuke Fukudome 100% (1 for 1)
3. Aramis Ramirez 67% (2 for 3)
4. Derrek Lee 67% (4 for 6)
5. Mike Fontenot 67% (4 for 6)
6. Micah Hoffpauir 40% (2 for 5)
7. Reed Johnson 33% (1 for 3)
8. Alfonso Soriano 33% (1 for 3)
9. Aaron Miles 20% (1 for 5)
10. Koyie Hill 0% (0 for 2)
11. Carlos Zambrano 0% (0 for 1)
12. Ryan Dempster 0% (0 for 1)
13. Ted Lilly 0% (0 for 1)
14. Geovany Soto 0% (0 for 2)
15. Milton Bradley 0% (0 for 1)
16. Rich Harden 0% (0 for 1)

Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 7
2. Ryan Theriot 2
3. Koyie Hill 1
4. Kosuke Fukudome 1
5. Aramis Ramirez 1
6. Milton Bradley 1
7. Mike Fontenot 1
8. Derrek Lee 1

Clutch Game Changing HR:
1. Alfonso Soriano 3
2. Aramis Ramirez 1

Rally HR:
1. Aramis Ramirez 1
2. Milton Bradley 1
3. Kosuke Fukudome 1
4. Derrek Lee 1

Insurance HR:
1. Mike Fontenot 2
2. Aramis Ramirez 1
3. Ryan Theriot 1

Clutch Insurance HR:
1. ------

Low Value Home Run:
1. Kosuke Fukudome 2
2. Mike Fontenot 2
3. Micah Hoffpauir 1
4. Carlos Zambrano 1
5. Derrek Lee 1
6. Aramis Ramirez 1

Out on basepaths:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 5
2. Mike Fontenot 2
3. Alfonso Soriano 2
4. Joey Gathright 2
5. Ryan Theriot 2
6. Aramis Ramirez 1
7. Derrek Lee 1

2-Out RBI:
1. Aramis Ramirez 11
2. Ryan Theriot 8
3. Derrek Lee 6
4. Kosuke Fukudome 6
5. Mike Fontenot 4
6. Koyie Hill 4
7. Micah Hoffpauir 4
8. Aaron Miles 3
9. Reed Johnson 3
10. Geovany Soto 3
11. Ted Lilly 2
12. Alfonso Soriano 2
13. Carlos Zambrano 1
14. Sean Marshall 1

PITCHING STATS-

Quality Start %:
1. Carlos Zambrano 67% (4 for 6)
2. Rich Harden 67% (4 for 6)
3. Ted Lilly 60% (3 for 5)
4. Sean Marshall 50% (2 for 4)
5. Ryan Dempster 50% (3 for 6)


Game Score Average:
1. Ted Lilly 58.2 (291/5 starts)
2. Rich Harden 51.5 (309/6 starts)
3. Ryan Dempster 50.8 (305/6 starts)
4. Carlos Zambrano 50.5 (303/6 starts)
5. Sean Marshall 50.3 (201/4 starts)

Run Support Per Start:
1. Carlos Zambrano 4.8 (29 runs/6 starts)
2. Ted Lilly 4 (20 runs/5 starts)
3. Rich Harden 3.4 (17 runs/5 starts)
4. Ryan Dempster 2.7 (16 runs/6 starts)
5. Sean Marshall 2.3 (9 runs/4 starts)

Tough Loss:
1. Ted Lilly 1
2. Carlos Zambrano 1
3. Sean Marshall 1
Cheap wins:
1. Ted Lilly 1
2. Ryan Dempster 1

Inherited runners scored %:
1. David Patton 0% (0 of 3)
2. Neal Cotts 8% (1 of 13)
3. Carlos Marmol 13% (1 of 8)
4. Angel Guzman 20% (1 of 5)
5. Kevin Gregg 20% (1 of 5)
6. Aaron Heilman 43% (3 of 7)
7. Jeff Samardzija 38% (3 of 8)

Stops:
1. Carlos Marmol 2
2. Kevin Gregg 2
3. Neal Cotts 1

Fan Save Value:
1. Carlos Marmol 3.0 (2 saves)
2. Kevin Gregg 2.5 (4 saves)

Jam Success %:

1. Angel Guzman 100% (3 for 3)
2. Aaron Heilman 100% (2 for 2)
3. Carlos Marmol 80% (4 for 5)
4. Sean Marshall 75% (3 for 4)
5. Neal Cotts 67% (2 for 3)
6. Ted Lilly 60% (3 for 5)
7. Rich Harden 50% (3 for 6)
8. Ryan Dempster 40% (4 for 10)
9. Carlos Zambrano 36% (4 for 11)
10. Kevin Gregg 33% (1 for 3)
11. David Patton 0% (0 for 4)
12. Jeff Samardzija 0% (0 for 1)


TEAM STATS-

Cubs Scored % (Leadoff double or Runner on 2nd with no outs): 64% (7 for 11)

Cubs Scored % (Runner on 1st/no outs): 52% (30 for 58)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off walk): 56% (9 for 16)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off single): 51% (18 for 35)

Cubs Scored % (two out walk): 17% (3 for 18)

Cubs Scored % (two out hit): 19% (4 for 21)

Cubs Hidden Stats Update 5/6/2009

Updated through game #24 (May 3, 2009)

OFFENSIVE STATS-


Runners Advanced Plus/Minus (RA+/-):

1. Ryan Theriot +15 (17 for 24)
2. Kosuke Fukudome +10 (13 for 24)
3. Derrek Lee +9 (9 for 29)
4. Mike Fontenot +7 (9 for 18)
5. Reed Johnson +6 (6 for 9)
6. Alfonso Soriano +4 (4 for 16)
7. Micah Hoffpauir +3 (4 for 17)
8. Koyie Hill +3 (4 for 6)
9. Carlos Zambrano +3 (3 for 4)
10. Rich Harden +2 (2 for 2)
11. Aaron Miles +2 (4 for 16)
12. Ted Lilly +1 (1 for 3)
13. Ryan Dempster +1 (1 for 2)
14. Aramis Ramirez +1 (2 for 8)
15. Sean Marshall +0 (0 for 2)
16. Milton Bradley +0 (1 for 6)
17. Joey Gathright +0 (0 for 1)
18. Geovany Soto -1 (5 for 19)

Runners Advanced Percentage (RA%):

1. Rich Harden 100% (2 for 2)
2. Carlos Zambrano 75% (3 for 4)
3. Ryan Theriot 71% (17 for 24)
4. Reed Johnson 67% (6 for 9)
5. Koyie Hill 67% (4 for 6)
6. Kosuke Fukudome 54% (13 for 24)
7. Ryan Dempster 50% (1 for 2)
8. Mike Fontenot 50% (9 for 18)
9. Ted Lilly 33% (1 for 3)
10. Derrek Lee 31% (9 for 29)
11. Geovany Soto 26% (5 for 19)
12. Aaron Miles 25% (4 for 16)
13. Alfonso Soriano 25% (4 for 16)
14. Aramis Ramirez 25% (2 for 8)
15. Micah Hoffpauir 24% (4 for 17)
16. Milton Bradley 17% (1 for 6)
17. Sean Marshall 0% (0 for 2)

RBI success % (runner on 3rd/less than 2 outs):

1. Aramis Ramirez 100% (2 for 2)
2. Ryan Theriot 100% (4 for 4)
3. Kosuke Fukudome 100% (1 for 1)
4. Derrek Lee 67% (4 for 6)
5. Mike Fontenot 60% (3 for 5)
6. Micah Hoffpauir 40% (2 for 5)
7. Alfonso Soriano 33% (1 for 3)
8. Aaron Miles 20% (1 for 5)
9. Koyie Hill 0% (0 for 2)
10. Carlos Zambrano 0% (0 for 1)
11. Ryan Dempster 0% (0 for 1)
12. Ted Lilly 0% (0 for 1)
13. Geovany Soto 0% (0 for 2)
14. Milton Bradley 0% (0 for 1)
15. Reed Johnson 0% (0 for 2)

Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 7
2. Ryan Theriot 2
3. Koyie Hill 1
4. Kosuke Fukudome 1
5. Aramis Ramirez 1
6. Milton Bradley 1
7. Mike Fontenot 1
8. Derrek Lee 1

Clutch Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 3
2. Aramis Ramirez 1

Rally HR:

1. Aramis Ramirez 1
2. Milton Bradley 1
3. Kosuke Fukudome 1
4. Derrek Lee 1

Insurance HR:

1. Mike Fontenot 2
2. Aramis Ramirez 1


Clutch Insurance HR:

1. ------

Low Value Home Run:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 2
2. Mike Fontenot 2
3. Micah Hoffpauir 1
4. Carlos Zambrano 1
5. Derrek Lee 1

Out on basepaths:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 5
2. Mike Fontenot 2
3. Alfonso Soriano 2
4. Joey Gathright 2
5. Ryan Theriot 2
6. Aramis Ramirez 1
7. Derrek Lee 1

2-Out RBI:

1. Aramis Ramirez 11
2. Derrek Lee 6
3. Kosuke Fukudome 6
4. Ryan Theriot 6
5. Mike Fontenot 4
6. Koyie Hill 4
7. Micah Hoffpauir 4
8. Aaron Miles 3
9. Ted Lilly 2
10. Geovany Soto 2
11. Alfonso Soriano 2
12. Carlos Zambrano 1

PITCHING STATS-

Quality Start %:

1. Carlos Zambrano 67% (4 for 6)
2. Sean Marshall 67% (2 for 3)
3. Rich Harden 60% (3 for 5)
4. Ted Lilly 60% (3 for 5)
5. Ryan Dempster 40% (2 for 5)

Game Score Average:

1. Ted Lilly 58.2 (291/5 starts)
2. Sean Marshall 53.3 (160/3 starts)
3. Rich Harden 51.8 (259/5 starts)
4. Carlos Zambrano 50.5 (303/6 starts)
5. Ryan Dempster 48.2 (241/5 starts)

Run Support Per Start:

1. Carlos Zambrano 4.8 (29 runs/6 starts)
2. Ted Lilly 4 (20 runs/5 starts)
3. Rich Harden 3.4 (17 runs/5 starts)
4. Ryan Dempster 2.4 (12 runs/5 starts)
5. Sean Marshall 2.3 (7 runs/3 starts)

Tough Loss:

1. Ted Lilly 1
2. Carlos Zambrano 1
3. Sean Marshall 1

Cheap wins:

1. Ted Lilly 1
2. Ryan Dempster 1


Inherited runners scored %:

1. David Patton 0% (0 of 3)
2. Neal Cotts 10% (1 of 10)
3. Carlos Marmol 14% (1 of 7)
4. Angel Guzman 20% (1 of 5)
5. Kevin Gregg 20% (1 of 5)
6. Aaron Heilman 43% (3 of 7)
7. Jeff Samardzija 50% (3 of 6)


Stops:

1. Carlos Marmol 2
2. Kevin Gregg 2
3. Neal Cotts 1

Fan Save Value:

1. Carlos Marmol 3.0 (2 saves)
2. Kevin Gregg 1.75 (3 saves)

Jam Success %:

1. Angel Guzman 100% (3 for 3)
2. Aaron Heilman 100% (2 for 2)
3. Carlos Marmol 75% (3 for 4)
4. Sean Marshall 75% (3 for 4)
5. Rich Harden 67% (2 for 3)
6. Neal Cotts 67% (2 for 3)
7. Ted Lilly 60% (3 for 5)
8. Ryan Dempster 38% (3 for 8)
9. Carlos Zambrano 36% (4 for 11)
10. Kevin Gregg 33% (1 for 3)
11. David Patton 0% (0 for 4)
12. Jeff Samardzija 0% (0 for 1)

TEAM STATS-

Cubs Scored % (Leadoff double or Runner on 2nd with no outs): 57% (4 for 7)

Cubs Scored % (Runner on 1st/no outs): 52% (27 for 52)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off walk): 58% (7 for 12)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off single): 52% (17 for 33)

Cubs Scored % (two out walk): 19% (3 for 16)

Cubs Scored % (two out hit): 19% (3 for 16)

Cubs Hidden Stats updated through game #15 (April 24, 2009)

Updated through game #15 (April 24, 2009)

OFFENSIVE STATS-

Runners Advanced Plus/Minus (RA+/-):

1. Ryan Theriot +10 (12 for 16)
2. Kosuke Fukudome +7 (8 for 14)
3. Derrek Lee +7 (7 for 22)
4. Reed Johnson +4 (4 for 5)
5. Mike Fontenot +3 (4 for 9)
6. Micah Hoffpauir +3 (3 for 10)
7. Alfonso Soriano +3 (3 for 11)
8. Koyie Hill +2 (3 for 5)
9. Aaron Miles +1 (3 for 8)
10. Ted Lilly +1 (1 for 2)
11. Ryan Dempster +1 (1 for 2)
12. Aramis Ramirez +1 (2 for 8)
13. Rich Harden +1 (1 for 1)
14. Sean Marshall +0 (0 for 1)
15. Carlos Zambrano +0 (0 for 1)
16. Milton Bradley +0 (1 for 5)
17. Geovany Soto -1 (3 for 14)

Runners Advanced Percentage (RA%):

1. Reed Johnson 80% (4 for 5)
2. Ryan Theriot 75% (12 for 16)
3. Koyie Hill 60% (3 for 5)
4. Kosuke Fukudome 57% (8 for 14)
5. Ted Lilly 50% (1 for 2)
6. Mike Fontenot 44% (4 for 9)
7. Aaron Miles 38% (3 for 8)
8. Derrek Lee 32% (7 for 22)
9. Micah Hoffpauir 30% (3 for 10)
10. Alfonso Soriano 27% (3 for 11)
11. Aramis Ramirez 25% (2 for 8)
12. Geovany Soto 21% (3 for 14)
13. Milton Bradley 20% (1 for 5)
14. Carlos Zambrano 0% (0 for 1)
15. Sean Marshall 0% (0 for 1)
16. Ryan Dempster 0% (1 for 2)

RBI success % (runner on 3rd/less than 2 outs):

1. Aramis Ramirez 100% (2 for 2)
2. Ryan Theriot 100% (3 for 3)
3. Kosuke Fukudome 100% (1 for 1)
4. Derrek Lee 50% (2 for 4)
5. Micah Hoffpauir 50% (2 for 4)
6. Mike Fontenot 50% (1 for 2)
7. Alfonso Soriano 33% (1 for 3)
8. Aaron Miles 33% (1 for 3)
9. Koyie Hill 0% (0 for 2)
10. Carlos Zambrano 0% (0 for 1)
11. Ryan Dempster 0% (0 for 1)
12. Ted Lilly 0% (0 for 1)
13. Geovany Soto 0% (0 for 2)
14. Milton Bradley 0% (0 for 1)
15. Reed Johnson 0% (0 for 1)

Game Winning RBI (CLUTCH):

1. Alfonso Soriano 2
2. Aramis Ramirez 1


Clutch Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 3
2. Aramis Ramirez 1


Rally HR:

1. Aramis Ramirez 1
2. Milton Bradley 1
3. Kosuke Fukudome 1
4. Derrek Lee 1

Insurance HR:

1. Aramis Ramirez 1

Clutch Insurance HR:

Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 5
2. Koyie Hill 1
3. Kosuke Fukudome 1
4. Aramis Ramirez 1


Low Value Home Run:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 1
2. Mike Fontenot 1

Out on basepaths:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 4
2. Mike Fontenot 2
3. Alfonso Soriano 2
4. Ryan Theriot 2
5. Derrek Lee 1
6. Aramis Ramirez 1
7. Joey Gathright 1

2-Out RBI:

1. Aramis Ramirez 11
2. Derrek Lee 5
3. Mike Fontenot 3
4. Kosuke Fukudome 3
5. Koyie Hill 3
6. Aaron Miles 2
7. Micah Hoffpauir 2
8. Geovany Soto 2
9. Alfonso Soriano 1


BAWRIP

1 K. Fukudome 0.802
2 A. Soriano 0.749
3 Koyie Hill 0.625
4 A. Ramirez 0.620
5 M. Hoffpauir 0.614
6 Ryan Theriot 0.513
7 Mike Fontenot 0.499
8 Derrek Lee 0.393
9 Reed Johnson 0.375
10 M. Bradley 0.367
11 Geovany Soto 0.300
12 J. Gathright 0.200
13 Aaron Miles 0.178

WRIP

1 K. Fukudome 0.462
2 A. Soriano 0.436
3 Koyie Hill 0.325
4 M. Bradley 0.324
5 Mike Fontenot 0.286
6 M. Hoffpauir 0.281
7 A. Ramirez 0.262
8 J. Gathright 0.200
9 Derrek Lee 0.183
10 Ryan Theriot 0.180
11 Geovany Soto 0.175
12 Aaron Miles 0.083
13 Reed Johnson 0.042

OTS

1 K. Fukudome 0.288
2 A. Soriano 0.248
3 A. Ramirez 0.230
4 Koyie Hill 0.209
5 M. Hoffpauir 0.199
6 Ryan Theriot 0.165
7 Reed Johnson 0.139
8 Mike Fontenot 0.119
9 Derrek Lee 0.083
10 M. Bradley 0.050
11 Geovany Soto 0.038
12 Aaron Miles 0.017
13 J. Gathright 0.000

pdOBP

1 K. Fukudome 0.642
2 Koyie Hill 0.542
3 A. Soriano 0.520
4 Mike Fontenot 0.509
5 M. Bradley 0.484
6 Ryan Theriot 0.483
7 Geovany Soto 0.475
8 Reed Johnson 0.459
9 A. Ramirez 0.429
10 J. Gathright 0.400
11 M. Hoffpauir 0.391
12 Derrek Lee 0.357
13 Aaron Miles 0.257





PITCHING STATS-

Quality Start %:

1. Carlos Zambrano 75% (3 for 4)
2. Rich Harden 66% (2 for 3)
3. Ted Lilly 66% (2 for 3)
4. Ryan Dempster 50% (2 for 4)
5. Sean Marshall 0% (0 for 1)

Game Score Average:

1. Ted Lilly 59.7 (179/3 starts)
2. Rich Harden 56.3 (169/3 starts)
3. Ryan Dempster 50 (200/4 starts)
4. Carlos Zambrano 50 (200/4 starts)
5. Sean Marshall 43 (43/1 start)


Tough Loss:

1. Ted Lilly 1
2. Carlos Zambrano 1


Cheap wins:

1. Ted Lilly 1
2. Ryan Dempster 1




Inherited runners scored %:

1. Carlos Marmol 0% (0 of 6)
2. Angel Guzman 0% (0 of 4)
3. Luis Vizcanio 0% (0 of 1)
4. Neil Cotts 13% (1 of 8)
5. Kevin Gregg 20% (1 of 5)
6. Aaron Heilman 50% (3 of 6)


Stops:

1. Carlos Marmol 2
2. Kevin Gregg 2
3. Neil Cotts 1



Fan Save Value:

1. Carlos Marmol 3.00 (2 saves)
2. Kevin Gregg 0.50 (1 save)




Run Support Per Start:

1. Ted Lilly 4.3 (13 runs/3 starts)
2. Sean Marshall 4 (4 runs/1 start)
3. Rich Harden 3.3 (10 runs/3 starts)
4. Ryan Dempster 3 (12 runs/4 starts)
5. Carlos Zambrano 3 (12 runs/4 starts)


Jam Success %:

1. Rich Harden 100% (1 for 1)
2. Angel Guzman 100% (3 for 3)
3. Aaron Heilman 100% (2 for 2)
4. Carlos Marmol 100% (1 for 1)
5. Luis Vizcanio 100% (1 for 1)
6. Neal Cotts 100% (1 for 1)
7. Ted Lilly 50% (1 for 2)
8. Kevin Gregg 50% (1 for 2)
9. Carlos Zambrano 38% (3 for 8)
10. Ryan Dempster 33% (2 for 6)
11. Sean Marshall 0% (0 for 1)
12. David Patton 0% (0 for 1)
13. Jeff Samardzija 0% (0 for 1)


TEAM STATS-



Cubs Scored % (Leadoff double or Runner on 2nd with no outs): 50% (3 for 6)

Cubs Scored % (Runner on 1st/no outs): 44% (14 for 32)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off walk): 63% (5 for 8)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off single): 40% (8 for 20)

Cubs Scored % (two out walk): 21% (3 for 14)

Cubs Scored % (two out hit): 25% (2 for 8)

Updated Stats through April 21

NOTE: I have updated the inherited runners scored percentage totals using data obtained from baseballreference.com.

I have done this to ensure accuracy. With the change, the new numbers are different than what I previously posted.

IRS% (IR-IS):

1. Carlos Marmol: 0% (6-0)
2. Luis Vizcanio: 0% (1-0)
3. Angel Guzman: 0% (2-0)
4. Neil Cotts: 12.5% (8-1)
5. Kevin Gregg: 20% (5-1)
6. Aaron Heilman: 50% (6-3)


And I'm introducing a new stat that I will start posting: 2-Out RBI

2-Out RBI (through April 21):

1. Aramis Ramirez 11
2. Derrek Lee 5
3. Mike Fontenot 3
4. Kosuke Fukudome 3
5. Koyie Hill 3
6. Aaron Miles 2
7. Micah Hoffpauir 2
8. Geovany Soto 2
9. Alfonso Soriano 1

Cubs Hidden Stats as of April 19

Updated as of last game completed on April 18

OFFENSIVE STATS-

Game Winning RBI (CLUTCH):

1. Alfonso Soriano 2
2. Aramis Ramirez 1

RBI success % (runner on 3rd/less than 2 outs):

1. Aramis Ramirez 100% (2 for 2)
2. Ryan Theriot 100% (1 for 1)
3. Kosuke Fukudome 100% (1 for 1)
4. Derrek Lee 66% (2 for 3)
5. Alfonso Soriano 50% (1 for 2)
6. Mike Fontenot 50% (1 for 2)
7. Aaron Miles 33% (1 for 3)
8. Koyie Hill 0% (0 for 2)
9. Carlos Zambrano 0% (0 for 1)
10. Micah Hoffpauir 0% (0 for 2)
11. Ryan Dempster 0% (0 for 1)
12. Ted Lilly 0% (0 for 1)
13. Geovany Soto 0% (0 for 2)
14. Milton Bradley 0% (0 for 1)

Clutch Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 3
2. Aramis Ramirez 1

Clutch Game-tying RBI:

1. Alfonso Soriano 2

Rally HR:

1. Aramis Ramirez 1
2. Milton Bradley 1
3. Kosuke Fukudome 1
4. Derrek Lee 1

Insurance HR:

1. Aramis Ramirez 1

Clutch Insurance HR:

Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 5
2. Koyie Hill 1
3. Kosuke Fukudome 1
4. Aramis Ramirez 1

Low Value Home Run:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 1
2. Mike Fontenot 1

Runners Advanced Plus/Minus (RA+/-):

1. Ryan Theriot +9 (9 for 13)
2. Kosuke Fukudome +7 (8 for 13)
3. Derrek Lee +5 (5 for 17)
4. Alfonso Soriano +3 (3 for 7)
5. Koyie Hill +2 (3 for 5)
6. Aramis Ramirez +2 (2 for 4)
7. Mike Fontenot +2 (3 for 7)
8. Reed Johnson +2 (2 for 2)
9. Micah Hoffpauir +1 (1 for 6)
10. Aaron Miles +1 (2 for 4)
11. Ted Lilly +1 (1 for 2)
12. Ryan Dempster +0 (0 for 1)
13. Sean Marshall +0 (0 for 1)
14. Carlos Zambrano +0 (0 for 1)
15. Milton Bradley -1 (0 for 3)
16. Geovany Soto -1 (2 for 10)

Runners Advanced Percentage (RA%):

1. Reed Johnson 100% (2 for 2)
2. Aramis Ramirez 50% (2 for 4)
3. Ryan Theriot 69% (9 for 13)
4. Kosuke Fukudome 62% (8 for 13)
5. Koyie Hill 60% (3 for 5)
6. Aaron Miles 50% (2 for 4)
7. Ted Lilly 50% (1 for 2)
8. Alfonso Soriano 43% (3 for 7)
9. Mike Fontenot 43% (3 for 7)
10. Derrek Lee 29% (5 for 17)
11. Geovany Soto 20% (2 for 10)
12. Micah Hoffpauir 17% (1 for 6)
13. Carlos Zambrano 0% (0 for 1)
14. Milton Bradley 0% (0 for 3)
15. Sean Marshall 0% (0 for 1)
16. Ryan Dempster 0% (0 for 1)

Out on basepaths:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 4
2. Mike Fontenot 2
3. Aramis Ramirez 1
4. Alfonso Soriano 1
5. Derrek Lee 1

Scoring from second on a single:

1. Ryan Theriot 100% (2 for 2)
2. Kosuke Fukudome 100% (2 for 2)
3. Alfonso Soriano 100% (1 for 1)
4. Geovany Soto 100% (1 for 1)
5. Mike Fontenot 50% (1 for 2)
6. Aramis Ramirez 50% (1 for 2)
7. Derrek Lee 0% (0 for 2)
8. Milton Bradley 0% (0 for 1)
9. Joey Gathright 0% (0 for 1)


Scoring from first on a double:

1. Alfonso Soriano 100% (1 for 1)
2. Mike Fontenot 100% (1 for 1)
3. Ryan Theriot 100% (1 for 1)
4. Derrek Lee 50% (1 for 2)
5. Kosuke Fukudome 33% (1 for 3)


PITCHING STATS-

Quality Start %:

1. Carlos Zambrano 66% (2 for 3)
2. Rich Harden 50% (1 for 2)
3. Ted Lilly 50% (1 for 2)
4. Ryan Dempster 33% (1 for 3)
5. Sean Marshall 0% (0 for 1)

Game Score Average:

1. Ted Lilly 56 (112/2 starts)
2. Rich Harden 52.5 (105/2 starts)
3. Ryan Dempster 49.7 (149/3 starts)
4. Carlos Zambrano 48.7 (146/3 starts)
5. Sean Marshall 43 (43/1 start)

Tough Loss:

Cheap wins:

1. Ted Lilly 1
2. Ryan Dempster 1

Inherited runners scored %:

1. Carlos Marmol 0% (0 of 4)
2. Kevin Gregg 20% (1 of 5)
3. Neil Cotts 20% (1 of 5)
4. Aaron Heilman 60% (3 of 5)

Stops:

1. Carlos Marmol 2
2. Kevin Gregg 2
3. Neil Cotts 1


Fan Save Value:

1. Carlos Marmol 3.00 (2 saves)
2. Kevin Gregg 0.50 (1 save)


Run Support Per Start:

1. Ted Lilly 6.5 (13 runs/2 starts)
2. Ryan Dempster 4 (12 runs/3 starts)
3. Sean Marshall 4 (4 runs/1 start)
4. Carlos Zambrano 3.7 (11 runs/3 starts)
5. Rich Harden 1.5 (3 runs/2 starts)


Jam Success %:

1. Rich Harden 100% (1 for 1)
2. Angel Guzman 100% (3 for 3)
3. Aaron Heilman 100% (2 for 2)
4. Ted Lilly 100% (1 for 1)
5. Carlos Marmol 100% (1 for 1)
6. Luis Vizcanio 100% (1 for 1)
7. Neal Cotts 100% (1 for 1)
8. Carlos Zambrano 50% (3 for 6)
9. Ryan Dempster 0% (0 for 3)
10. Sean Marshall 0% (0 for 1)
11. Kevin Gregg 0% (0 for 1)
12. David Patton 0% (0 for 1)


TEAM STATS-


Cubs Scored % (Leadoff double or Runner on 2nd w/ no outs): 66% (2 for 3)

Cubs Scored % (Runner on 1st/no outs): 50% (12 for 24)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off walk): 63% (5 for 8)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off single): 46% (6 for 13)

Cubs Scored % (two out walk): 25% (3 for 12)

Cubs Scored % (two out hit): 29% (2 for 7)

Cubs Hidden Stats- Rate Stats

Through April 16, 2009

BAWRIP

1 K. Fukudome 0.960
2 A. Soriano 0.800
3 Ryan Theriot 0.638
4 Koyie Hill 0.625
5 A. Ramirez 0.616
6 Mike Fontenot 0.592
7 Derrek Lee 0.462
8 Reed Johnson 0.448
9 M. Bradley 0.423
10 M. Hoffpauir 0.375
11 J. Gathright 0.333
12 Aaron Miles 0.091
13 Geovany Soto 0.071

WRIP

1 K. Fukudome 0.585
2 A. Soriano 0.492
3 M. Bradley 0.367
4 Mike Fontenot 0.366
5 J. Gathright 0.333
6 Koyie Hill 0.325
7 A. Ramirez 0.306
8 Derrek Lee 0.262
9 Ryan Theriot 0.251
10 M. Hoffpauir 0.125
11 Reed Johnson 0.063
12 Aaron Miles 0.000
13 Geovany Soto 0.000


OTS

1 K. Fukudome 0.380
2 A. Soriano 0.267
3 Ryan Theriot 0.229
4 Koyie Hill 0.209
5 A. Ramirez 0.196
6 Reed Johnson 0.193
7 Mike Fontenot 0.149
8 Derrek Lee 0.098
9 M. Hoffpauir 0.094
10 M. Bradley 0.071
11 Geovany Soto 0.009
12 Aaron Miles 0.008
13 J. Gathright 0.000


pdOBP

1 J. Gathright 0.666
2 K. Fukudome 0.666
3 Ryan Theriot 0.628
4 Mike Fontenot 0.590
5 Reed Johnson 0.563
6 Koyie Hill 0.542
7 A. Soriano 0.533
8 M. Bradley 0.520
9 A. Ramirez 0.420
10 Derrek Lee 0.405
11 M. Hoffpauir 0.250
12 Geovany Soto 0.133
13 Aaron Miles 0.091

Cubs Hidden Stats as of April 12

OFFENSIVE STATS-


Game Winning RBI (CLUTCH):

1. Alfonso Soriano 1

RBI success % (runner on 3rd/less than 2 outs):

1. Alfonso Soriano 100% (1 for 1)
2. Aramis Ramirez 100% (1 for 1)
3. Mike Fontenot 100% (1 for 1)
4. Ryan Theriot 100% (1 for 1)
5. Koyie Hill 0% (0 for 1)
6. Carlos Zambrano 0% (0 for 1)
7. Aaron Miles 0% (0 for 1)
8. Derrek Lee 0% (0 for 1)
9. Micah Hoffpauir 0% (0 for 1)


Clutch Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 2

Clutch Game-tying RBI:

1. Alfonso Soriano 2

Clutch Rally HR:

1. Aramis Ramirez 1

Rally HR:

1. Aramis Ramirez 1
2. Milton Bradley 1
3. Kosuke Fukudome 1

Insurance HR:

1. Aramis Ramirez 1

Game Changing HR:

1. Alfonso Soriano 3
2. Koyie Hill 1

Low Value Home Run:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 1
2. Mike Fontenot 1


Runners Advanced Plus/Minus (RA+/-):

1. Ryan Theriot +5 (5 for 6)
2. Alfonso Soriano +2 (2 for 3)
3. Kosuke Fukudome +2 (3 for 5)
4. Geovany Soto +1 (2 for 4)
5. Derrek Lee +1 (1 for 7)
6. Koyie Hill +1 (2 for 4)
7. Aramis Ramirez +1 (1 for 1)
8. Carlos Zambrano +0 (0 for 1)
9. Mike Fontenot +0 (1 for 3)
10. Micah Hoffpauir +0 (0 for 1)
11. Milton Bradley -1 (0 for 1)
12. Aaron Miles -1 (0 for 1)


Runners Advanced Percentage (RA%):

1. Aramis Ramirez 100% (1 for 1)
2. Ryan Theriot 83% (5 for 6)
3. Alfonso Soriano 67% (2 for 3)
4. Kosuke Fukudome 60% (3 for 5)
5. Geovany Soto 50% (2 for 4)
6. Koyie Hill 50% (2 for 4)
7. Mike Fontenot 33% (1 for 3)
8. Derrek Lee 11% (1 for 9)
9. Carlos Zambrano 0% (0 for 1)
10. Milton Bradley 0% (0 for 1)
11. Aaron Miles 0% (0 for 1)
12. Micah Hoffpauir 0% (0 for 1)

Out on basepaths:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 1
2. Mike Fontenot 1
3. Aramis Ramirez 1


Scoring from second on a single:

1. Ryan Theriot 100% (1 for 1)
2. Kosuke Fukudome 100% (1 for 1)
3. Mike Fontenot 50% (1 for 2)
4. Derrek Lee 0% (0 for 1)
5. Aramis Ramirez 0% (0 for 1)


Scoring from first on a double:

1. Kosuke Fukudome 0% (0 for 1)


PITCHING STATS-

Quality Start %:

1. Carlos Zambrano 100% (2 for 2)
2. Ryan Dempster 100% (1 for 1)
3. Rich Harden 100% (1 for 1)
4. Ted Lilly 0% (0 for 1)

Game Score Average:

1. Rich Harden 68
2. Carlos Zambrano 55.5
3. Ryan Dempster 54
4. Ted Lilly 34

Cheap win:

1. Ted Lilly 1

Fewest Inherited runners scored %:

1. Aaron Heilman 60% (3 of 5)
2. Neil Cotts 0% (0 of 3)
3. Kevin Gregg 33% (1 of 3)
4. Carlos Marmol 0% (0 of 2)

Stops:

1. Neil Cotts 2
2. Carlos Marmol 1
3. Kevin Gregg 1

Fan Save Value:

1. Carlos Marmol 1.50
2. Kevin Gregg 0.50


Run Support Per Start:

1. Ted Lilly 10 (10 runs/1 start)
2. Rich Harden 3 (3 runs/1 start)
3. Carlos Zambrano 2.5 (5 runs/2 starts)
4. Ryan Dempster 1 (1 run/1 start)


Jam Success %:

1. Rich Harden 100% (1 for 1)
2. Angel Guzman 100% (1 for 1)
3. Aaron Heilman 100% (1 for 1)
4. Ted Lilly 100% (1 for 1)
5. Carlos Zambrano 75% (3 for 4)
6. Kevin Gregg 0% (0 for 1)


TEAM STATS-

Intentional Walk Good % (when Cubs are pitching): 0% (0 for 1)

Intentional Walk Not Good % (when Cubs are pitching): 100% (1 for 1)

Intentional Walk Bomb % (when Cubs are pitching): 0% (0 for 1)

Cubs Scored % (Leadoff double or Runner on 2nd with no outs): 50% (1 for 2)

Cubs Scored % (Runner on 1st/no outs): 33% (2 for 6)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off walk): 33% (1 for 3)

Cubs Scored % (lead-off single): 33% (1 for 3)

Cubs Scored % (two out walk): 0% (0 for 7)

Cubs Scored % (two out hit): 33% (1 for 3)

Stat of the Day: Derrek Lee's struggle to advance runners

One of my stat's is the Runner Advanced Plus/Minus system where I reward players with a plus if they advance a runner with less than 2 outs and a minus if they cause a double play. I'm going to add a new stat called runner advanced percentage (RA%) where I take those pluses and divide it by the number of opportunities.

Let's look at how Derrek Lee did last night against the Houston Astros. Lee finished the game with a +1 but yet his RA% would be only 20%. Here's why:

Top 1st- Lee doubled to right, Alfonso Soriano scored, Kosuke Fukudome to third. Lee gets a plus for advancing the runners.
Top 2nd- Lee struck out with Fukudome on first with one out.
Top 3rd- Lee struck out with Fukudome on second with one out.
Top 5th- Lee popped out to first with Fukudome on first and Soriano on second with one out.
Top 7th- Lee struck out with Soriano on second with one out.

So after the first inning, Lee had four chances to advance the runner and failed to do so each time. That's not what you want to see from your number three hitter.

First Hidden Stats post coming in about one week!

The baseball season starts this Monday. You can expect the first post involving 2009 Cubs hidden stats to be posted no later than Sunday April 12th.

About This Site

This post should answer some questions you may have:

• I won't update the stats every day but I will make a strong effort to update it at least once a week. It will be either Sunday or Monday.
• As of now, I plan on providing stats for every Cubs player regardless of playing time. However, my hitting stats will most likely exclude pitchers.
• In addition to the stats I post, there are links for other stats in the "Where to find Cubs Hidden Stats" section on the top right side of the main page.
• The stats will be calculated according to the definitions I listed in my list of stats posts.
• In addition to updating the stats once I week, I plan on having a stat of the day post once a week. NOTE: by 'stat of the day', I don't mean everyday. It just means that it will be the only such post I make that day. If I were to do 'stat of the week', I would make one post per week but not necessarily every week.
• I probably won't post EVERY stat every week. I'll provide updates on the stats I feel are the most important but in order to not take up too much space, I may update some stats only bi-weekly.
  

2008 Hidden Stats League Averages and League Leaders

This should help you understand the stats better. Many people know that a .300 batting average is good or a .500 Slugging Percentage is good but what is a good On base Times Slugging (OTS) or a good Plate Discipline On Base Percentage (pdOBP)? I think I can help. Using stats from 2008, I figure out league averages and leaders for each stat. Using these stats should help you understand what numbers should be considered below or above average and what numbers should be considered very high. For example, a .143 OTS would be considered slightly above average and a .289 OTS would be considered very high considering that Albert Pujol's .302 OTS led the majors in 2008.

MLB 2008 Averages

BAWRIP: .503
OTS: .139
pdOBP: .420
IsoP: .152
Walk Rate: .087
BA: .264
OBP: .333
SLG: .416
OPS: .749
WRIP: .239

MLB 2008 Leaders

BAWRIP: Albert Pujols .815
OTS: Albert Pujols .302
pdOBP: Chipper Jones .639
IsoP: Albert Pujols .296
Walk Rate: Adam Dunn .187
BA: Chipper Jones .364
OBP: Chipper Jones .470
SLG: Albert Pujols .653
OPS: Albert Pujols 1.114
WRIP: Adam Dunn 0.482

MLB WRIP Leaders

What is WRIP? It could be the newest stat to my site. WRIP is Walk Rate plus Isolated Power. It's sort of like Secondary Average in the sense is shows what someone does besides batting average.

Here is the MLB 2008 top 10:

WRIP

1 Adam Dunn 0.482
2 Albert Pujols 0.458
3 Jack Cust 0.431
4 Pat Burrell 0.415
5 J.D. Drew 0.412
6 Jim Thome 0.409
7 Ryan Howard 0.408
8 Carlos Pena 0.405
9 Lance Berkman 0.404
10 Carlos Quentin 0.399

List of Stats (with definitions)

Ok...here is the unofficial cubs hidden stats that you'll see here during the season assuming I don't change my mind between now and April.

NOTE: The stats that also appear in the "Where to find Cubs Hidden Stats" section located on the top right of the main page won't be shown in my posts but you can view them throughout the season by clicking on the link provided for each stat. They are stats I think are important but I see no need to record the stats in my posts if you can view them on another website. The point of including those particular stats is the fact they can be hard to find if you don't know where to look. They are hidden.

OFFENSIVE STATS-

Isolated Power (IsoP): Calculated as SLG minus BA. Takes away the singles that makes a person's SLG look higher than it should be.

Game Winning RBI (CLUTCH): The original Game Winning RBI measures the RBI that put a team ahead for good. This one is the same only that the RBI has to occur in the 7th inning or later.

RBI success % (runner on 3rd/less than 2 outs): This is when you're batting with a runner on third with less than 2 outs. Your job is to get the run home and it's not too difficult because you don't even need to get a hit to bring the runner home. I've always wondered how certain players like Aramis Ramirez did in those situations when he was batting. It is calculated as RBIs divided by ABs in that situation.

Game Changing HR: The same as the clutch game changing HR but it can be hit in any inning.

Clutch Game Changing HR: This is one of those stats that may or may not exist but I don't see them anywhere. My clutch game changing HR is a HR hit in the 7th inning or later that results in the game being tied or the batting team taking the lead. Mark DeRosa's 2-run homer vs the Rockies in that comeback game would count as a clutch game changing HR.

Clutch Game-tying RBI: RBI that ties the game in the 7th inning or later.

Clutch Game Winning Run: Same as clutch GWRBI but this is a run instead of an RBI (excludes Home Runs).

Rally HR: Any HR that cuts a deficit to three runs or less but does not tie game or give team the lead.

Clutch Rally HR: Rally HR hit in 7th inning or later.

Insurance HR: HR that occurs with team up 3 runs or less

Clutch Insurance HR: HR that occurs with team up 3 runs or less in 7th inning or later.

Low Value Home Run: I originally wanted to call this a meaningless home run or a non-valuable home run but any home run hit that doesn't help a team win is meaningless and any home run hit in which a team eventually wins (even if the team was down nine runs at the time) is not meaningless. So I'll call it low value. It doesn't mean it is worthless but even if the team wins, the run that tied the game will be more valuable than the run scored when down by six runs. It is a home run hit with a team up four runs or more OR a home run that results in a team still trailing by four runs or more.

Walk Rate: BB/PA

PDOBP (Plate Discipline On-Base Percentage): OBP + Walk Rate. I was originally going to use OBP + IsoD but IsoD includes hit by pitches and a blogger from walksaber.blogspot.com says that IsoD (OBP-BA) is a flawed stat. Using Walk Rate is a much better way to show a batter's plate discipline. The goal of this stat is to show an OBP that puts a bigger weight on walks than on hits. OBP is often labeled as better than batting average because it includes walks but if you have a .350 BA, it's not hard to have a better OBP than a player who walks a lot. Why not just focus on Walk Rate? I could but I want to look at players who can walk AND hit. A player with good plate discipline is useless if he is a very poor hitter. What good is a high walk rate if his OBP is only .265? This stat makes sure that batting average isn't completely ignored but it makes walks more important than hits.

BAWRIP: Batting Average plus Walk Rate plus Isolated Power. Similar to OPS but unlike OPS, it counts batting average just once instead of twice and it ignores hit by pitches. In my opinion, it is better than OPS.

WRIP: WRIP is Walk Rate plus Isolated Power. It's sort of like Secondary Average in the sense that it shows what someone does besides batting average.

On-base Times Slugging (OTS): OBP times SLG. Bill James once said that OPS should be multiplied because a team with a .400 OBP and a .400 SLG will score more runs than a team with a .350 OBP and a .450 SLG. It forces you to be good at both OBP and SLG instead of really good at one of them and mediocre at the other one.

Gross Production Average (GPA): [(OBP*1.8) + SLG] divided by 4. This stat that I discovered here is supposed to have a number that looks like batting average-- .360 is very good, .265 is about average, and .200 is horrible. The OBP times 1.8 part is a weighted OBP determined by Victor Wang. As for the dividing by 4, that's just so it is put on a scale similar to batting average. The stat was created by Aaron Gleeman.

Win Probability Average (WPA): The Hardball Times says that WPA is a “system in which each player is given credit toward helping his team win, based on play-by-play data and the impact each specific play has on the team's probability of winning.” Go to http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/the-one-about-win-probability/ for a detailed explanation of WPA.

Secondary Average (SecA): (TB - H + BB + SB - CS) / AB. It was originally created by Bill James. Rototimes.com has a good definition. They said, "Secondary Average, or SEC, is a sabermetric tool used to gauge a player's ability to produce extra bases independent of batting average (the total of a player's extra bases earned on hits, walks, and stolen bases expressed as a percentage of at-bats). The reason is simple. Batting average really tells you little about the type of hitter being listed. Does a .300 average mean that Player A is better than Player B, who hits .280? Not if Player A has 12 HRs while Player B knocks 32 longballs. In essence, SEC attempts to fill in the gaps that batting average doesn't address. As a result, SEC basically covers the three primary factors of an offensive contribution outside of average: power (bases), eye (BB) and speed (SB)."

Runs Created: This is what The Hardball Times said: "Runs Created. Invented by Bill James, RC is a very good measure of the number of runs a batter truly contributed to his team’s offense. The basic formula for RC is OBP*TB, but it has evolved into over fourteen different versions. We use the most complicated version, which includes the impact of hitting well with runners in scoring position, and is adjusted for ballpark impact." The link for Runs Created will be from The Hardball Times website.


Runners Advanced Plus/Minus (RA+/-): Plus (hitter advancing a runner who is on base) - Minus (hitting into a double play) equals Plus/Minus score. For example, a batter who advances the runner 11 times and hits into a double play four times will have a score of +7.

Runner Advanced Percentage (RA%): Runner Advanced pluses divided by opportunities.

Out on basepaths: Number of times a runner makes an out at any base after he already safely reached first base. I will include outs such as caught stealing, out advancing, and doubled off on a fly out. I will exclude force outs and doubled off on a line drive.

Scoring from second on a single: the number of times a runner on second scores on a single divided by the number of opportunities.

Scoring from first on a double: Same formula as above but involving a runner on first scoring on a double.


PITCHING STATS-

Left On Base Percentage (LOB%)- From The Hardball Times, “Essentially, it's the number of baserunners who didn't score divided by the total number of baserunners (except those who scored on a home run). We exclude home runs from the base because we want to measure things a pitcher is less likely to control.” The exact formula is (H+BB+HBP-R)/(H+BB+HBP-(1.4*HR)).

Quality Start: When a starting pitcher pitches 6 or more innings allowing 3 or less earned runs.

Quality Start %: Quality Starts divided by Games Started.

Game Score Average: This is a pitching stat. Posting how to calculate it takes up too much space but basically you start with 50 points and how the pitcher does in his start determines how many points he finishes with. I think Kerry Wood's 20K game earned him the highest game score ever recorded. I’ll take the game score from each start and divide by the number of starts. This is how Game Score is calculated:

1. Start with 50 points.
2. Add 1 point for each out recorded, so 3 points for every complete inning pitched.
3. Add 2 points for each inning completed after the 4th.
4. Add 1 point for each strikeout.
5. Subtract 2 points for each hit allowed.
6. Subtract 4 points for each earned run allowed.
7. Subtract 2 points for each unearned run allowed.
8. Subtract 1 point for each walk.

Tough Loss/Cheap win: These are determined based whether the pitcher finishes with a game score below or under 50 points and whether or not the team won. A tough loss is a loss despite a game score over 50 and a cheap win is a win despite a game score below 50. Good indicator of who won a game thanks in large part to the offense and who was denied a win because of poor hitting, bad defense, or a weak performance by the bullpen.

Inherited runners scored %: This is just the percentage of how many runners on base score when a relief pitcher enters a game with runners on base.


Fan Save Value: Fangraphs.com did a good job explaining it:

"FSV measures the difficulty level of each save by taking into account the lead with which the closer enters as well as the number of outs he must record to secure a win for his team. When all of the results are added together we are left with a number similar to the saves total but more indicative of how hard a closer had to work. The formula for FSV is (X/Y)/2, where X=the amount of outs to record and Y=the lead of his team. For instance, recording a one-inning save with a two-run lead would result in an FSV of 0.75; 3 outs divided by 2 runs ahead, then divided by 2."


Run Support Per Start: Runs scored while on the mound during start divided by games started.

Jam Success %: Number of times when an inning that starts with a leadoff single, walk, or hit by pitch allowed doesn't result in a run scoring divided by the number of innings this sort of thing happens.


Stops: Stat created by a Cubs.com poster named illinijay2. There are two ways to earn one. First way is coming in with a lead and the tying or go ahead runs on base and getting out of the inning with the lead intact. Second way is coming in to a tie game with runners on and getting out of the inning with the tie intact.

TEAM STATS-

Cubs Scored % (Leadoff double or Runner on 2nd with no outs): The percentage of times a runner scores after a lead-off double or when the lead-off man reaches 2nd base BEFORE the next hitter bats.

Cubs Scored % (Runner on 1st/no outs): Runs divided by opportunities (by opportunities I mean situations when there is a runner on 1st and no outs).

Cubs Scored % (Runner on 3rd/ one out): Runs divided by opportunities.

Intentional Walk Good % (when Cubs are pitching): No runs scored divided by intentional walks.

Intentional Walk Not Good % (when Cubs are pitching): times a run is scored in the inning divided by IBB.

Intentional Walk Bomb % (when Cubs are pitching): when the IBB batter eventually scores or a runner that advanced a base on the IBB eventually scores divided by IBB.

Cubs Good Bunt %: Advanced runner(s) scored divided by sac bunts. Excluding bunts by pitcher.

Cubs Bad Bunt %: No runs scored divided by sac bunts. Excluding bunts by pitcher.

Cubs Scored % (lead-off walk): Runs divided by opportunities.

Cubs Scored % (lead-off single): Runs divided by opportunities.

Cubs Scored % (two out walk): Runs divided by opportunities with bases empty.

Cubs Scored % (two out hit): Runs divided by opportunities with bases empty excluding home runs.

2007 OPS battle: A-Rod vs. Ortiz

Besides OPS, two stats similar to OPS that I have looked at are BAWRIP and IsoOPS. Like I have said in past posts, BAWRIP is batting average plus walk rate plus isolated power and IsoOPS is OPS minus batting average (what OPS would look like if batting average counted once in OPS instead of twice). BAWRIP is very similar to IsoOPS. They are both like OPS and they both count batting average only once. I wasn't sure if there was any big differences between the two so I decided to try to find out.

I decided to look at the 2007 AL OPS leaders and apply some of my stats to them. Why 2007? I have the 2008 Bill James Handbook that uses stats from the 2007 season. The book had the OPS leaders written out so I used that for my research.

I found out that Alex Rodriguez finished first in the AL in OPS edging out David Ortiz but just one point (1.067 to 1.066). Ortiz had a higher BA by 18 points therefore Ortiz had a lower IsoOPS too. Remember IsoOPS is OPS minus BA so the player with the higher BA often has the lower IsoOPS when they both have a similar OPS. So the next thing I did was take the AL OPS top ten and re-rank them with my other OPS-like stats. The first surprise was that Carlos Pena despite finishing third in OPS, finished 1st in BAWRIP. The reason? First of all, he had the second highest walk rate and had the highest IsoP among the ten players. His BA was only .282 which is why his OPS was not high enough to beat A-Rod and Ortiz. Ortiz gained 100 points over Pena with his BA because his BA counted twice was .664 and Pena's was .564. Have BA count only once, and Pena beats Ortiz by 19 points.

But there was something even more interesting. Ortiz beat A-Rod in BAWRIP! At first, I figured I must have made a mistake. Ortiz couldn't even beat A-Rod in IsoOPS so how can he beat him in BAWRIP? I looked at A-Rod's stats again and I found the reason. A-Rod had 21 hit by pitches (HBP) in 2007 which increased his IsoD (OBP minus BA) because OBP includes HBPs. Ortiz had 4 HBPs. So it turns out that A-Rod won the OPS title just because he got hit by more pitches than Ortiz did. Imagine that!

So my conclusion is that BAWRIP is definitely different than IsoOPS because HBPs actually can make a difference! I'm not sure if a player's HBP total should be used to evaluate their talent. It is still getting on-base and you don't really care HOW you get on-base but the problem I have with it is that the pitcher pretty much has complete control over whether a batter gets hit by a pitch or not. Giving a batter credit for being hit by a pitch is like giving a baserunner a stolen base even though the catcher threw the ball into center fielder or giving a batter a hit even though the shortstop mishandled the ball. The baserunner would like to think he forced the catcher to make a bad throw and the batter would like to think he has the ability to make the ball spin out of a fielder's glove but really they accomplished something thanks to someone else's mistake. A batter doesn't really earn a hit by pitch....he just was fortunate the pitcher threw it in his direction.

However, some batters DO get hit by pitches more than other batters and it's more than coincidence. The reason could be that they stand close to plate, don't make an effort to dodge the baseball, or a combination of both. However, the pitcher still needs to make a bad pitch to hit a batter. I'd like to compare hit by pitches to taking a charge in basketball. In basketball, taking a charge means getting fouled by the offensive player. Usually the offensive player knocks the defensive player down with his body and the defensive player gets credit for taking a charge. You can sort of consider it to be a skill because the defensive player has to stand in one place prior to receiving contact to show that the defensive player was just standing there when he was knocked to the ground. Some players move their feet before contact and no offensive foul is called. However, it still depends on the offensive player. If he doesn't touch the defender, usually a foul isn't called. It's the same with the batter and the pitcher. The batter can stand close to home plate and also not make an effort to avoid the ball but if the pitcher throws a good pitch, the batter can't get hit by the pitch. He doesn't have complete control over whether or not he gets hit and the basketball player doesn't have complete control over whether or not he gets fouled. They can certainly give them an invitation to hit them but they can't force the opposing player to commit the violation whether it is a hit by pitch or an offensive foul.

In conclusion, I think I'll focus more on BAWRIP and less on IsoOPS because I don't want A-Rod beating Ortiz just because he got hit by more pitches. OPS is considered an ultimate stat in which Player A can be automatically considered a better offensive player than Player B if Player A has the higher OPS but I don't think A-Rod was a better offensive player than Ortiz in 2007 just because A-Rod had the higher OPS.

New stat: Fan Save Value

Adding to my list of hidden stats is a real stat called Fan Save Value. It is a stat created by Ari Kaplan and I discovered it while reading the book Baseball Hacks by Joseph Adler. A post on fangraphs.com did a good job explaining it:

"FSV measures the difficulty level of each save by taking into account the lead with which the closer enters as well as the number of outs he must record to secure a win for his team. When all of the results are added together we are left with a number similar to the saves total but more indicative of how hard a closer had to work. The formula for FSV is (X/Y)/2, where X=the amount of outs to record and Y=the lead of his team. For instance, recording a one-inning save with a two-run lead would result in an FSV of 0.75; 3 outs divided by 2 runs ahead, then divided by 2."

How is it used? If Carlos Marmol has 12 saves with a FSV of 12.5, it means that his saves were harder than it seems. If Marmol has 12 saves with a FSV of 11.2, it means that his saves were easier than it seems. I'm still trying to understand it too but that's a rough idea of how the stat is translated. It's a very interesting stat and it is "hidden" stat (the writer of the Fan Graphs post called it a stat that is "not mentioned too much"). I needed some good stats for pitchers especially closers so I'll definitely keep track of this stat for all Cubs pitchers who record a save in 2009.

2008 Chicago Cubs OPS Leaders

Here are the 2008 OPS Cubs top 10 including ALL players:

OPS Leaders
1 Jim Edmonds 0.937
2 M. Hoffpauir 0.934
3 Mike Fontenot 0.909
4 A. Ramirez 0.898
5 C. Zambrano 0.892
6 A. Soriano 0.876
7 Geovany Soto 0.868
8 Mark DeRosa 0.857
9 Derrek Lee 0.823
10 Reed Johnson 0.778

2008 Chicago Cubs IsoDPP Leaders

2008 Cubs IsoDPP (isolated discipline plus power) leaders among players with at least 100 ABs:

NAME IsoDPP
Jim Edmonds 0.425
A. Ramirez 0.320
A. Soriano 0.316
Mike Fontenot 0.299
Geovany Soto 0.298
Daryle Ward 0.289
Mark DeRosa 0.287
Derrek Lee 0.241
K. Fukudome 0.224
Reed Johnson 0.172
Ronny Cedeno 0.142
Henry Blanco 0.133
Ryan Theriot 0.132

2008 Chicago Cubs IsoOPS Leaders

Here are 2008 Cubs leaders in IsoOPS (OPS minus BA) among players with at least 100 ABs:

NAME IsoOPS OPS
Jim Edmonds 0.681 0.937
A. Ramirez 0.609 0.898
Mike Fontenot 0.604 0.909
A. Soriano 0.596 0.876
Geovany Soto 0.583 0.868
Mark DeRosa 0.572 0.857
Derrek Lee 0.532 0.823
Daryle Ward 0.505 0.721
K. Fukudome 0.481 0.738
Reed Johnson 0.475 0.778
Ryan Theriot 0.438 0.745
Henry Blanco 0.425 0.717
Ronny Cedeno 0.411 0.680

Complete list of the stats I have so far

This is like my Spring Training roster so far. Not everyone is going to make the cut but here are the stats that are fighting for a regular season roster spot:

OFFENSIVE STATS-

Isolated Power (IsoP): Calculated as SLG minus BA. Takes away the singles that makes a person's SLG look higher than it should be.

Isolated Discipline (IsoD): OBP minus BA. Shows how successful a player is at getting on base when he's NOT hitting. A player with a .345 BA can easily have a .400 OBP but that doesn't mean he walks a lot. His BA is the main reason his OBP is so high. As his BA drops, his OBP is sure to drop a lot too. Players with a high IsoD will see their OBP drop less when they have hitting slumps.

Isolated On-base Plus Slugging (IsoOPS): OPS minus BA. What you may or may not know is that OPS calculates batting average twice [OPS= (IsoD+ BA) + (IsoP + BA)]. A batter with a .350 BA is automatically guaranteed a .700 OPS meaning he doesn't have to walk a lot or hit for a lot of power to have a OPS among the best in the league. This forces them to do good in more than just batting average.

On-base Times Slugging (OTS): OBP times SLG. Bill James once said that OPS should be multiplied because a team with a .400 OBP and a .400 SLG will score more runs than a team with a .350 OBP and a .450 SLG. It forces you to be good at both OBP and SLG instead of really good at one of them and mediocre at the other one.

Contact Batting Average (CBA): Hits divided by ABs minus Ks. This is almost exactly like Batted Balls in Play (BABIP) but this one keeps the HRs. BABIP just tries to show how lucky or unlucky a hitter is. I just want to show what a hitter's batting average would be if he didn't strike out so much.

Batter's Linear Weights (LWTS): These stat-heads (Pete Palmer and John Thorn) once determined the expected run value each hit brings. For example, they found out a HR on average scores 1.4 runs. They came up with a formula to determine the run value of a player: (.46 x 1B) + (.85 X 2B) + (1.02 x 3B) + (1.40 X HR) + [.33 X (BB+ HBP)] + (.22 X SB) + (-.35 X CS) + [- .26 x (AB-H)]

Game Winning RBI (CLUTCH): The original Game Winning RBI measures the RBI that put a team ahead for good. This one is the same only that the RBI has to occur in the 7th inning or later.

RBI success %: Ok I have no idea what to really call this but this is when you're batting with a runner on third with less than 2 outs. Your job is to get the run home and it's not too difficult because you don't even need to get a hit to bring the runner home. I've always wondered what Aramis Ramirez's success was in those situations when he was batting. It is calculated as RBIs divided by ABs in that situation.

Clutch Game Changing HR: This is one of those stats that may or may not exist but I don't see them anywhere. My clutch game changing HR is a HR hit in the 7th inning or later that results in the game being tied or the batting team taking the lead. Mark DeRosa's 2-run homer vs the Rockies in that comeback game would count as a clutch game changing HR.

Clutch Game-tying RBI: RBI that ties the game in the 7th inning or later.

Clutch Run Scored: I got to find ways to credit the Ryan Theriots and the Mark DeRosas. They don't get RBI chances like Lee and Ramirez but they do usually end up getting on base for them and scoring the important runs. They deserve credit too so this stat measures runs scored in the 7th inning or later that gives the batting team the lead or ties the game.

Clutch Game Winning Run: Same as clutch GWRBI but this is a run instead of an RBI.

Rally HR: It's a Home Run hit with the team trailing by three runs or less and does NOT tie the game or give team the lead. It can also be a grand slam that puts the team within three runs. Any HR that cuts a deficit to three or less.

Insurance HR: HR that occurs with team up 3 runs or less in 7th inning or later.

Game Changing HR: The same as the clutch game changing HR but it can be hit in any inning.

Low Value Home Run: I originally wanted to call this a meaningless home run or a non-valuable home run but any home run hit that doesn't help a team win is meaningless and any home run hit in which a team eventually wins (even if the team was down nine runs at the time) is not meaningless. So I'll call it low value. It doesn't mean it is worthless but even if the team wins, the run that tied the game will be more valuable than the run scored when down by six runs. It is a home run hit with a team up four runs or more OR a home run that results in a team still trailing by four runs or more.

Walk Rate: BB/PA

PDOBP (Plate Discipline On-Base Percentage): OBP + Walk Rate. I was originally going to use OBP + IsoD but IsoD includes hit by pitches and a blogger from walksaber.blogspot.com says that IsoD (OBP-BA) is a flawed stat. Using Walk Rate is a much better way to show a batter's plate discipline. The goal of this stat is to show an OBP that puts a bigger weight on walks than on hits. OBP is often labeled as better than batting average because it includes walks but if you have a .350 BA, it's not hard to have a better OBP than a player who walks a lot. Why not just focus on Walk Rate? I could but I want to look at players who can walk AND hit. A player with good plate discipline is useless if he is a very poor hitter. What good is a high walk rate if his OBP is only .265? This stat makes sure that batting average isn't completely ignored but it makes walks more important than hits.

BAWRIP: Batting Average plus Walk Rate plus Isolated Power. Similar to OPS but unlike OPS, it counts batting average just once instead of twice and it ignores hit by pitches. In my opinion, it is better than OPS.

IsoDPP: Isolated Discipline plus Isolated Power. It is OPS without batting average (NOTE: BA counts twice in OPS). I'm not sure how useful it is but it's for guys like Adam Dunn who have weak batting averages but still have impressive stats.

IsoDTS: Isolated Discipline times Isolated Power. Multiplying the two stats shows more balance between the two stats. A player with a .150 IsoD and a .250 IsoP will have a better IsoDTS than someone with a .050 IsoD and a .350 IsoP despite both players having the same IsoDPP.

Moneyball OPS (3OPS): In the book Moneyball, Paul DePodesta, who at the time was the assistant General Manager of the Oakland A's, was trying to figure how much more important OBP was than SLG. He determined (using statistical analysis) that OBP was indeed more important. According to Moneyball, "In his model an extra point of on-base percentage was worth three times an extra point of slugging percentage." So this stat is calculated as (3*OBP) + SLG= 3OPS. I've seen some baseball experts write that OBP is actually closer to two times more important than three times more important. However, I will stick with the formula DePodesta created. He may have overvalued OBP a little bit too much in order to make sure that players with a high 3OPS had a very good OBP. That makes the stat seemed biased and experts claim that OBP really isn't that much more important but nonetheless, I like it enough to use his model over anyone else because the other experts can't agree on an alternative number. They just know that is closer to two than it is to three. The next stat, GPA, has a weight on OBP than is closer to what the experts say than what DePodesta says.

Gross Production Average (GPA): [(OBP*1.8) + SLG] divided by 4. This stat that I discovered here is supposed to have a number that looks like batting average-- .360 is very good, .265 is about average, and .200 is horrible. The OBP times 1.8 part is a weighted OBP determined by Victor Wang. As for the dividing by 4, that's just so it is put on a scale similar to batting average. The stat was created by Aaron Gleeman.

Runners Advanced Plus/Minus (RA+/-): Plus (hitter advancing a runner who is on base) - Minus (hitting into a double play equals Plus/Minus score. For example, a batter who advances the runner 11 times and hits into a double play four times will have a score of +7.

Good/Bad Runners Advanced Factor: (Runners advanced divided by at bats with a runner(s) on base and less than two outs) minus (Double Plays divided by at bats with a runner(s) on base and less than two outs).

Out on basepaths: Number of times a runner makes an aggressive out (not including force outs). For example, Caught stealing and trying to stretch a double into a triple.

Scoring from second on a single: the number of times a runner on second scores on a single divided by the number of opportunities.

Scoring from first on a double: Same formula as above but involving a runner on first scoring on a double.

PITCHING STATS-

Wins Above Team: This is a stat I'll keep track of but I may not post it too many times because it's interesting but perhaps not very important. It is calculated as Pitcher's winning % minus team's winning % WITHOUT pitcher's decisions multiplied by pitcher's decisions. This stat shows why a 14-14 pitcher is doing more harm than good for a 100-62 team. I don't think you need to look at this stat to know that Tim Lincecum did an amazing job considering how bad the Giants were but it does show how MUCH better or worse he did.

Quality Start %: Quality Starts divided by Games Started.

Game Score: This is a pitching stat. Posting how to calculate it takes up too much space but basically you start with 50 points and how the pitcher does in his start determines how many points he finishes with. I think Kerry Wood's 20K game earned him the highest game score ever recorded.

Tough Loss/Cheap win: These are determined based whether the pitcher finishes below or under 50 points and whether or not the team won.

Inherited runners scored %: This is just how many runners on base score when a relief pitcher enters a game with runners on base.

Neutral Win Percentage: {NW% = W% - Mate/2 + .25}. Mate is the team’s winning percentage with the individual’s decisions removed. For example, the Long Birds go 100-62 (.617). Joe Heat goes 11-15 (.423). The Long Birds are 89-47 (.654) without Joe Heat. Thus the formula for his NW% is .423 - (.617/2) + .25. This gives him a low NW% of .365. This stat was taken from walksaber.blogspot.com. Click here for a more detail explanation of this stat.

Run Support Per Start: Runs scored while on the mound during start divided by games started.

Jam Success (Good/Bad): Good- Number of times when an inning that starts with a leadoff single, walk, or hit by pitch allowed doesn't result in a run scoring divided by the number of innings this sort of thing happens. Bad- same formula but the leadoff single/walk/HBP DOES eventually lead to a run scoring.

Runners LOB (left on base) Percentage: The number of runners left on base in innings when no runs are scored (other than a solo HR) divided by games started. This stat is a work-in-progress.

TEAM STATS-

Cubs Scored % (Leadoff double or Runner on 2nd with no outs): The percentage of times a runner scores after a leadoff double.

Cubs Scored % (Runner on 1st/no outs): Runs divided by opportunities (by opportunities I mean situations when there is a runner on 1st and no outs).

Cubs Scored % (Runner on 3rd/ one out): Runs divided by opportunities.

Intentional Walk Good (when Cubs are pitching): No runs scored divided by intentional walks.

Intentional Walk Not Good (when Cubs are pitching): times a run is scored in the inning divided by IBB.

Intentional Walk Bomb (when Cubs are pitching): when the IBB batter eventually scores or a runner that advanced a base on the IBB eventually scores divided by IBB.

Cubs Good Bunt: Advanced runner(s) scored divided by sac bunts.

Cubs Bad Bunt: No runs scored divided by sac bunts.


That's all of them for now I think. There are some questions I was requested to attempt to answer:

How often does a lead-off walk/single score when the runner is bunted over vs. not bunted over?
How often does a runner on second with no outs score when the runner is bunted over vs. not bunted over?
Does a lead-off walk score more often, less often, or the same as a lead-off single?
Does a two-out walk score more often, less often, or the same as a two-out single?
Is a two-out walk statistically more damaging than a one-out walk?

I should be able to answer them but I haven't created the formulas for them yet.